Kousuke Ogura vs Lorenzo Lorusso Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do the players compare on second serve performance in recent form? Kousuke Ogura has won 46.21% of points, while Lorenzo Lorusso has won 46.72%.
• Who performs better in return games lately? Ogura has won 44.26% of opponents' second-serve points, slightly ahead of Lorusso at 44.00%.
• Ogura leads in first serve returns, winning 29.58%, compared to Lorusso's 25.31%, indicating an edge in first serve return games.
• When facing breakpoints, Ogura has saved 55.11%, higher than Lorusso's 51.19%, showcasing better resilience under pressure.
• In the past year, Ogura has a lower match win rate of 38.89% (W/L 21/33), compared to Lorusso's 42.86% (W/L 18/24).
• Both players have their best career win percentage on Hard courts, each at 50%, but differ significantly on other surfaces.
• Which player may have faced tougher opponents? Lorusso, with matches against players of average rank 90.55, versus Ogura's 407.46.
• In deciding sets, Lorusso excels with a win rate of 63% compared to Ogura's 33%, suggesting Lorusso's strength in close matches.
• Ogura has a higher breakpoint conversion rate at 36.36%, compared to Lorusso's 28.04%, an advantage during crucial game moments.
• Lorusso has marginally outperformed Ogura in recent match wins on the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, at 45.00% vs. 40.00%.

Editorial Prediction (November 27, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Kousuke Ogura and Lorenzo Lorusso presents a close contest, but several factors could influence the outcome.

Lorusso slightly outperforms Ogura in second serve points recently, indicating a minimal edge in sustained play. Additionally, his better performance in deciding sets suggests a psychological advantage in high-pressure situations.

Ogura shows strength in first serve returns and break point conversions, critical areas that can turn the tide of a match. His capacity to save breakpoints better also hints at strong defensive play under pressure.

While both players demonstrate equal prowess on Hard courts, Lorusso's experience against higher-ranked opponents over the past year suggests better adaptability to tougher competition.

Considering the data, Lorenzo Lorusso is projected as the likely winner of this upcoming match, given his resilience in deciding sets and experience against tougher opponents.